Friday, October 10, 2008

A Depressing Recession

And this Guy explains the intricate points of Economics for the Beginning Student? Actually, sorry Greg; you hazard a definition close to that of almost every Economist. There is a difference between a Recession and a Depression. Almost Everyone has an intrinsic conceptualism of the difference, but no one has ever seriously vocalized it. It has, of course, become a hurdle which I must leap; amid the laughter of experienced personnel. A Recession differs not one wit from a Depression in the Entry; a Recession can potentially have a higher Price slide in the Markets than does a Depression. A Depression actually opens with a relatively abrupt loss like Recessions, but a quick Recovery is blocked effectively, unlike the Recession.

Some Economists reflect that almost every first attempt at Recovery is blocked in either Recession or Depression, with a basic Return to the bottom Price. The first attempt is always basically blocked because all Participants think that it is only a Return to Business as usual. This is undoubted ignorance, as the Stock Prices would not have tanked in the first place, if Business as Usual could recover the momentum. Recessions quickly recover eventually because the Loss was the Result of bad Paper practices: bad Credit extension, bad loan levels, bad Equity evaluations, bad Sector cohesion, or bad Investment strategies. The common rationale behind such a Recovery is a redistribution of Equity between Parties, which will support to Boom mode.

A Depression, on the other hand, have intrinsic Problems within the Production/Distribution network under which the Economy labors. The Great Depression had Manufacturers refusing Layoffs until their Warehouses were overstocked with a basically stocked Consumer market, no development of Consumer Credit, and Banks invested in the Markets without any Regulation. No Recovery could be accomplished until the Warehouses were emptied. How does this fit in examination of the current Crisis? Well, it will be basically a Recessional Recovery from a Downturn caused by a $9 trillion Claim of Equity which did not actually exist. Literally put, Production Profits simply could pay for the excess Equity. We have been washing out Equity in the Markets for about a month, and We are practically back where the Profits spread with carry the estimated Equity. Recovery is coming. lgl

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