American troops have been in Iraq for Two years now. The optimism of the Iraqi Elections are over now, and the Assembly has finally managed to form a Government. The American Death Toll is listed at 1498, with 12,180 total Casualties. It will not fail to be higher, regrettably, because the violent incidents continue. The Iraqi economy even shows some sign of recovery, where violent Terrorist action and violent American response does not destroy necessary Infrastructure. Is there going to be improvement?
http://www.strategypage.com//fyeo/qndguide/default.asp?target=iraq.htm&base=iraq&Prev=0&BeginCnt=0
IRAQ: Let's Make a Deal and Stage a Coup
First, there's the corruption. Iraq is a nation of merchants, where everything is for sale.
The Iraqi Sunni Arabs are still intent on regaining control of the country, and are now keen on doing it later, rather than sooner. The Sunni Arabs know they have an education and experience advantage over the more numerous Shia Arabs. They know that powerful Sunni Arab nations in the region, particularly Saudi Arabia, will back them in many ways. The fear of Islamic conservatism from Shia Iran can also be manipulated. With many experienced, loyal and capable Sunni Arab officers in the police and army, peace can be restored.
Read the entire short article. It remains more positive than this Author's view of current Iraqi affairs. It assumes Iraqi leadership wants a decline in the number of Terrorist incidents, something neither Sunni or Shia could accept. Terrorists sink into the Iraqi masses because all political, religious, and tribal leaderships will not oppose it. Why don't they oppose it?
The answer to the Riddle states they reflect the identical aspirations of PLO leadership. Their leadership of Iraqi society would be undermined, if Western political and economic reform was recognized by the Iraqi masses as effective. They draw Cash revenues from both their followers and outside Arab countries, all of which would disappear if Terrorist incidents were to diminish. American exit from Iraq under fire stands as a Commitment of the entire Arab world. Shia, Sunni, Kurd, or Baathist, Terrorist incidents will continue as long as American troops stand on Iraqi soil.
When will Bush and the Military develop an Exit strategy for Iraq? lgl
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