Some will say that they finally pinned me down. One cannot be sure, as I am pretty slippery. The real bias of overconfidence remains the Will to do great things, even if the scope of the endeavor remains way beyond the individual. Readers should understand One should not be held back by the simple proposition that you don’t know what the hell you are talking about, but at the same time; the first 50 Answers which you get are probably wrong. A good View on all this is probably Study of business practice at the base level, where two basic models are existent: the business owner either starves for the first decade, or is on his third business attempt before success. No one would ever start anything if they had any statistical understanding of the level of their own ignorance. Trial and Error goes way beyond Scientific Tests.
Here is another approach to the problem I am trying to discuss this morning. The Experts are almost always the precise group who finds dissemination of information dangerous to themselves. Such data can only convict them of collusion or failure, presenting them with a personal liability. Any unwillingness on the part of the Outsider to investigate will defeat any accurate analysis of information. It stands in the Interest of Society to allow the misinformed and uninformed access to almost all information, as in about 20% of such instances, a alteration of authoritative policy or position will be engaged. Enlightened personnel will and should aid the Whistle-Blowers; the amount of disaster from such spread of information will never equal the magnitude of danger coming from hidden error.
The above knowledge brings my certitude in discussing What I know nothing about. Authority which cannot sustain the slings and arrow of its own constituency must rest on such profound error that it should prima facie be replaced. Whenever you hear Statements of state privilege, you should ask What they are trying to hide this time. Does this seem like too loose a social structure for you?–It is likely you have a Past which you wish to remain discrete. Mao Tse-tung had the correct idea in the Cultural Revolution, the Red Guard had entirely the wrong idea in the Cultural Revolution; transgressions should be exposed, but Punishment should be without Violence, and consist mostly of separation from the power in which they hid their malefactions. The Answer always lies in getting the Best possible, not in ostracizing the failures. lgl